A host of catastrophes, natural and otherwise, as well as some pleasant surprises—like the sudden end of the cold war without a shot being fired—have caught governments and societies unprepared many times in recent decades. September 11 is only the most obvious recent example among many unforeseen events that have changed, even redefined our lives. We have every reason to expect more such events in future. Several kinds of unanticipated scenarios—particularly those of low probability and high impact—have the potential to escalate into systemic crises. Even positive surprises can be major policy challenges. Anticipating and managing low-probability events is a critically important challenge to contemporary policymakers, who increasingly recognize that they lack the analytical tools to do so. Developing such tools is the focus of this insightful and perceptive volume, edited by renowned author Francis Fukuyama and sponsored by The American Interest magazine. Bl indside is organized into four main sections. "Thinking about Strategic Surprise" addresses the psychological and institutional obstacles that prevent leaders from planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating the necessary resources to deal with them. The following two sections pinpoint the failures—institutional as well as personal—that allowed key historical events to take leaders by surprise, and examine the philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. In "Pollyana vs. Cassandra," for example, James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook debate the future state of the world going forward. Mitchell Waldrop explores why technology forecasting is so poor and why that is likely to remain the case. In the book's final section, "What Could Be," internationally renowned authorities discuss low probability, high-impact contingencies in their area of expertise. For example, Scott Barrett looks at emerging infectious diseases, while Gal Luft and Anne Korin discuss energy security. How can we avoid being blindsided by unforeseen events? There is no easy or obvious answer. But it is essential that we understand the obstacles that prevent us first from seeing the future clearly and then from acting appropriately on our insights. This readable and fascinating book is an important step in that direction.
The new Dev Conrad mystery from the author of the Sam McCain and Jack Dwyer series - Political consultant Dev Conrad knows that helping Congressman Michael Robards to get re-elected is going to be tough. Robards' liberal voting record stands against him, and his staff seem resentful of Dev himself - which could doom the campaign. But there's a bigger problem. A campaign worker has been shot behind Robards' headquarters. Both Dev and the police presume it was a mugging, but as the election draws near, Robards is implicated in the murder by his enemies . . .
Neal Olen is just settling into his retirement from the Navy when a salacious new novel raises questions of adultery and national security. Olen finds himself recalled to duty to face a court-martial.
FBI agents Savich and Sherlock face two baffling cases in this riveting novel of knife-edge suspense from #1 New York Times bestselling author Catherine Coulter. When 6-year-old Sam Kettering manages to escape after being kidnapped, FBI Agents Lacey Sherlock and Dillon Savich join forces with the boy’s father Miles—an ex FBI agent—to pursue his kidnapper, a creepy, charasmatic Southern evangelist. As if the kidnapping case weren’t enough, Savich and Sherlock are at the same time desperate to find the cold-blooded killer of three high school math teachers in the Washington, D.C. area.
Alex Cahill and Logan Finch return in the gripping third novel in GJ Moffat's Glasgow-set crime series. When a passenger jet crashes in Denver, Colorado, nobody survives. In Glasgow, Alex Cahill is surprised to receive a phone call from the wife of an old Secret Service colleague who was supposedly travelling on the doomed plane. But there is no record of his name on the passenger list. Cahill uses his connections to find out what has happened but no one is talking. Not even to him. Enlisting the help of his lawyer and friend, Logan Finch, Cahill is determined to get some answers. Logan's girlfriend, DCI Rebecca Irvine, is also looking for answers. A new drug is killing users but is it accidental death or could it be homicide? As Rebecca searches the streets of Glasgow, and Cahill and Logan head to Denver, they are unaware that a perfect storm of events across the globe is about to engulf them all...
___________________________ The mayor of New York has a daughter who's missing. Detective Michael Bennett has a son who's in prison. Can one father help the other? Bennett and the mayor have always had a tense relationship, but now the mayor sees in Bennett an exceptional investigator who might be willing to take on a case that needs to be kept under the radar. The two men strike the deal. Sources lead Bennett to a homicide in the Bronx. The victim has ties to a sophisticated hacking operation - and also to the mayor's missing daughter. But this murder is part of a serial killing spree, one with national security implications. And suddenly Bennett is at the centre of a dangerous triangle anchored by NYPD, FBI and an international crime organization. Michael Bennett has always been an honourable man, but sometimes honour has to take a back seat. Survival comes first.
When U.S.-Turkish relations are jeopardized by the killing of U.S. operatives in Turkey, Phoenix Force must race against time to stop stolen nuclear devices from being detonated in both Turkey and America with the help of Able Team, who will do whatever it takes to neutralize the threat. Original.
Garrett, a lecturer by day and a playboy at heart, wanted a hot woman to be his date when he appeared on the TV show Blindside Date, and he chose Jayde. Jayde, a struggling student dedicated to social causes, was shocked by Garrett’s proposal. She planned to reject it, but when the show’s host said they could set up a televised fund-raising opportunity in exchange for her participation, Jayde had second thoughts…
What goes on tour, stays on tour…UNTIL NOW! All, and I do mean all, rugby players the world over are from the same mould. They are friendly, convivial, generally well mannered, muscular, motivated, heavy drinkers with a high testosterone level, but above all trustworthy...Until now. This treacherous author has let the pussy out of the bag and touring is no longer a simple visa permit from the wife. From the author, Jon Prichard: "I joined the British Club of Bangkok and immersed myself if their rugby team becoming captain for a few years and then as a playing and moaning Chairman. The BC and an Asian based Rhino’s RFC have taken me on innumerable rugby tours throughout Asia and beyond and in late 2017 I decided to make some written tales of those adventures. The tales are true and risqué in every way and some are seriously adult reading. There are also tales of simple experiences of living and working in Asia, but most have a rugby flavour."
Told in their separate voices, Jake, an Olympic snowboarder whose fame has gone to his head, and Sophie, a high school junior and big fan of Jake's, connect at high school and soon find themselves working together to uncover who has framed him for drug possession and other misdeeds.
Pete's a brilliant runner and dreams of athletic stardom - but fate intervenes. Pete is blindsided when he is involved in a horrific bike collision and his whole life is knocked off course. Stuck in a hospital bed and lamenting the loss of his mobility as well as his shattered dreams, the other people on his ward help Pete see that giving up on life is not the answer.
Revealing traditional Japanese strategies that label the nation's current recession as a deliberate misconception, an examination of Japan's emerging role in the global marketplace predicts that Japan will overtake the United States's economic status.
Defensive linebacker Matt Greene must substitute for injured Jesse Kissler, the quarterback, and he and his teammates wonder if he will be able to lead the team, or whether Jesse will get better in time.
Blindside, Mark Reid's fifth collection, exhibits his accustomed minimalist rigour, a spare and allusive lyric, contemporary, colloquial, committed, seeking the sublime in the everyday. 'Mark Reid's poetry has always delighted and challenged me. His distinctive voice and finely-tuned ear for just the right music has given his work a potency that's been hard-won. Reid is a craftsman.' - Anthony Lawrence 'Reid's is a brooding art, open to epiphany, constructing it, but also measuring its constant retreat.' - Lyn McCredden
The football star made famous in the hit film (and book) The Blind Side reflects on how far he has come from the circumstances of his youth. Michael Oher shares his personal account of his story, in this inspirational New York Times bestseller. Looking back on how he went from being a homeless child in Memphis to playing in the NFL, Michael talks about the goals he had to break out of the cycle of poverty, addiction, and hopelessness that trapped his family. Eventually he grasped onto football as his ticket out and worked hard to make his dream into a reality. With his adoptive family, the Touhys, and other influential people in mind, he describes the absolute necessity of seeking out positive role models and good friends who share the same values to achieve one's dreams. Sharing untold stories of heartache, determination, courage, and love, I Beat the Odds is an incredibly rousing tale of one young man's quest to achieve the American dream.
The book behind the Academy award-winning film starring Sandra Bullock and Tim McGraw—over one million copies sold. When we first meet him, Michael Oher is one of thirteen children by a mother addicted to crack; he does not know his real name, his father, his birthday, or how to read and write. He takes up football, and school, after a rich, white, Evangelical family plucks him from the streets. Then two great forces alter Oher: the family's love and the evolution of professional football into a game where the quarterback must be protected at any cost. Our protagonist becomes the priceless package of size, speed, and agility necessary to guard the quarterback's greatest vulnerability, his blind side.
"Lewis has such a gift for storytelling... he writes as lucidly for sports fans as for those who read him for other reasons."--Janet Maslin, New York Times When we first meet Michael Oher is one of thirteen children by a mother addicted to crack; he does not know his real name, his father, his birthday, or how to read or write. He takes up football, and school, after a rich, white, Evangelical family plucks him from the streets. Then two great forces alter Oher: the family's love and the evolution of professional football itself into a game in which the quarterback must be protected at any cost. Our protagonist becomes the priceless package of size, speed, and agility necessary to guard the quarterback's greatest vulnerability: his blind side.
After a mugging gone wrong, Detective Michael Bennett becomes public enemy number one when the citizens of New York rally around the dead shooter's family. Amidst the controversy and media chaos, Bennett must wait for his name to be cleared. Though he is suspended from active duty, the Mayor has a secret mission for Bennett with an irresistible incentive. Find the Mayor's missing daughter, and Bennett's beloved son Brian will be released from prison. Desperate to get back to work and free his son, Bennett sets out to solve the mystery of Natalie's disappearance. When Natalie's friends start turning up dead around the city, Bennett soon realises that wherever she is, Natalie is in more danger than he could have ever imagined. As links start emerging to a dangerous underground hacking network, Bennett must go beyond his jurisdiction to bring Natalie home. A proud and loving father, Bennett will do whatever it takes to bring his son back to his family. But has Natalie fallen too deep into the dangerous world of the dark web to ever come back?